National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Restaurant and Food Service Managers) is part of a larger occupational group called Managers in Food Service and Accommodation (NOC 063).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation experienced a drop in employment while the unemployment rate increased. However, the unemployment rate remained low in relation to the unemployment rate for the economy as a whole. The average hourly wage increased at the same rate as the wage for all occupations. The hourly wage for this occupation is by far the lowest for management occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Managers In Food Service And Accommodation, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 82,018 and 80,352 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour supply and demand in this occupation were balanced, the number of job seekers will remain sufficient to fill the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. The majority of job openings will arise from retirements. The retirement rate for this occupation will be similar to the average for all occupations. Workers in this occupation are older than the average but they retire later than workers in other occupations. Expansion demand in this occupation will be appreciable and will continue to follow the upward trend that began years ago. Aside from a drop during the 2008-2009 recession, employment in this occupation has been growing for over 20 years, increasing on par with the restaurant and accommodation service industry. With regard to labour supply, job seekers will come from both the school system and other occupations. The workers who come from other occupations will be mainly workers from the restaurant or accommodation service industry who have acquired solid experience in the field.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 35% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Restaurant and Food Service Managers) is part of a larger group called Managers in Food Service and Accommodation (NOC 063). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 64% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What proportion of people in this occupation work full-time?

The graph displays the proportion of people in this occupation who worked full-time and part-time in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 91% of workers in this occupation worked full-time, compared to the average of 81% for all occupations.

What is the proportion of women working in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 49% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Restaurant and Food Service Managers) is part of a larger group called Managers in Food Service and Accommodation (NOC 063). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 6%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.