National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Hairstylists and Barbers) is part of a larger occupational group called Technical Occupations in Personal Service (NOC 627).

Table on the demographic profile for your chosen occupation at the national level.

Occupations in this group	Hairstylists and Barbers (6271)  Funeral Directors and Embalmers (6272)
Employment (non-student) in 2010	100,998
Median Age of workers in 2010	40
Average Retirement Age in 2010	60

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation, which includes hairstylists and barbers, experienced a slight increase in employment and a large increase in wages. The unemployment rate increased slightly, but still remained very low (2.4% in 2010). However, since a great many workers in this occupation (approximately 50%) are self-employed, the unemployment rate is not the most revealing of indicators for this occupation. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Technical Occupations In Personal Service, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 37,202 and 31,609 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour demand and supply in this occupation were balanced, job seekers will be sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation over the 2011-2020 period. Employment growth in this occupation tends to follow population growth. More than half of job openings will be due to retirements. The retirement rate for this occupation is around the average for all occupations. Employment will continue to grow at the same rate as in recent years. In terms of supply, the vast majority of job seekers will come from the school system. However, many workers will leave this occupation for another during the 2011-2020 decade. Since this occupation consists mainly of hairstylists and barbers, uncertain conditions and low wages lead workers to leave this occupation.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

Table of job opening projections for the occupational group containing your chosen occupation.

Category	Openings	%
Expansion Demand	11,281	30%
Retirements	20,256	54%
Other Replacement Demand	3,377	9%
Emigration	2,288	6%
Projected Job Openings	37,202	100%

Table of job seeker projections for the occupational group containing your chosen occupation.

Category	Seekers	%
School Leavers	37,126	117%
Immigration	4,517	14%
Other	-10,034	-32%
Projected Job Seekers	31,609	100%

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

This table shows the industry sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

Industry / Sector	%
Other services (except public administration)	98.50

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 42% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Hairstylists and Barbers) is part of a larger group called Technical Occupations in Personal Service (NOC 627). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 47% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What proportion of people in this occupation work full-time and part-time?

The graph displays the proportion of people in this occupation who worked full-time and part-time in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 74% of workers in this occupation worked full-time, compared to the average of 81% for all occupations.

What proportion of men and women work in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 83% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

The data from the Labour Force Survey (2009) regarding the percentage of people in this occupation who are part of a union are not sufficiently reliable to be published.