National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Urban and Land Use Planners) is part of a larger occupational group called Architects, Urban Planners and Land Surveyors (NOC 215).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, employment in this occupation grew more rapidly than in the other occupations. The low unemployment rate remained stable and the average hourly wage increased very quickly but remained somewhat low compared to other occupations in natural and applied sciences. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Architects, Urban Planners And Land Surveyors, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 13,378 and 12,628 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that this occupation recently experienced a shortage of labour, it is expected that the number of job seekers in this occupation will be insufficient to fill the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. Nearly all job openings will arise from retirements, despite a retirement rate similar to the average for all occupations. Job openings arising from economic growth (expansion demand) will be much fewer in number than over the 2001-2010 period. In fact, during the 2001-2010 period, this occupation benefited from sizeable investments in construction. However, the recent recession slowed down employment growth markedly at the start of the projection period and activity in the construction sector will remain weaker over the projection period than before the recession. With regard to labour supply, the majority of job seekers will come from the school system. However, it should be noted that a certain number of workers will leave this occupation for another.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 9% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Urban and Land Use Planners) is part of a larger group called Architects, Urban Planners and Land Surveyors (NOC 215). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 23% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Urban and Land Use Planners) is part of a larger group called Architects, Urban Planners and Land Surveyors (NOC 215). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 24%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.