National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Glaziers) is part of a larger occupational group called Other Construction Trades (NOC 729).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation experienced employment growth similar to that for all occupations. The unemployment rate for this occupation, already high, increased further. The average hourly wage increased more quickly than for all occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Other Construction Trades, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 32,664 and 49,819 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour supply and demand in this occupation were balanced, this occupation is expected to have a surplus of job seekers where the number of job seekers will be more than sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation over the 2011-2020 period. Job openings will arise both from new positions due to economic growth and from retirements. Expansion demand will be distinctly lower than over the 2001-2010 period mainly because of the slowdown in housing starts. This slowdown is a result of the aging population, which means slower demographic growth. Increases in immigration, household formation and infrastructure investments are expected to partially compensate for this decrease in construction investments. The number of retirements is not expected to be as high as in other occupations because workers in this occupation tend to be younger and retire later. With regard to labour supply, school leavers and immigrants are expected to account for the majority of job seekers.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 18% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Glaziers) is part of a larger group called Other Construction Trades (NOC 729). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 37% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Glaziers) is part of a larger group called Other Construction Trades (NOC 729). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 36%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.