National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (College and Other Vocational Instructors) is part of a larger occupational group called College and Other Vocational Instructors (NOC 413).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, employment in this occupation grew more quickly than for other occupations, but the unemployment rate also increased at a pace on par with that of all occupations. The average hourly wage was relatively high and increased at the same rate as that for all occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers in this occupation was sufficient to fill the job openings.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For College And Other Vocational Instructors, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 51,698 and 33,997 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour supply and demand were balanced in this occupation, it is expected that demand will exceed supply. In other words, the number of job seekers will be insufficient to fill the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. As has been the case over the ten years preceding the projection period, the majority of job openings over the projection period will arise from retirements. Since workers in this occupation are generally older than the average, the retirement rate in this occupation will be higher than the average. Expansion demand will also be an appreciable source of job openings, representing nearly 20% of labour demand. In recent years, the creation of new jobs in this occupation has been sustained by the improvement of public finances, as well as significant investments in the education system. However, over the projection period, expansion demand will be slightly weaker than that recorded over the 2001-2010 period, as this occupation will have to deal with the fact that the population of five- to seventeen-year-olds will decrease, which will result in a decrease in the demand for instructors. However, as the Canadian economy is becoming increasingly focused on knowledge, the demand for post-secondary studies should continue to grow, which will limit the impact of the decreasing population of five- to seventeen-year-olds. With regard to labour supply, the majority of job seekers will come from the school system.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 8% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (College and Other Vocational Instructors) is part of a larger group called College and Other Vocational Instructors (NOC 413). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 14% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What proportion of people in this occupation work full-time?

The graph displays the proportion of people in this occupation who worked full-time and part-time in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 72% of workers in this occupation worked full-time, compared to the average of 81% for all occupations.

What is the proportion of women working in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 55% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (College and Other Vocational Instructors) is part of a larger group called College and Other Vocational Instructors (NOC 413). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 58%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.