National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Utilities Managers) is part of a larger occupational group called Managers in Manufacturing and Utilities (NOC 091).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, employment in this occupation dropped significantly and the unemployment rate increased more quickly than the rate for the economy as a whole. The average hourly wage also increased more quickly than the wage for all occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Managers In Manufacturing And Utilities, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 40,684 and 44,101 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Considering that labour supply and demand in this occupation were balanced, projections indicate that the number of job seekers will remain sufficient to fill the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. The annual difference between labour supply and demand is very small, representing only -0.4% of employment in 2010. The retirement rate for this occupation will be above the average projected for all occupations, mainly because workers are older than those in other occupations. On the other hand, expansion demand will be relatively weak. For several years, the manufacturing sector has experienced many difficulties such as the appreciation of the Canadian dollar, the weakness of the American economy, and foreign competition, which restricted growth in this sector. In addition, the 2008-2009 global recession accelerated the decline of the manufacturing sector. While the job losses in 2009 and 2010 were significant, the expected increase in productivity that will accompany the economic recovery in the longer term will limit the hiring of new workers in the manufacturing sector, particularly in the industries related to resources and consumption. With regard to labour supply, job seekers will come from both the school system and other occupations. In the latter case, workers who obtain a position in this occupation will primarily be those who have experience in another occupation in the manufacturing sector.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Utilities Managers) is part of a larger group called Managers in Manufacturing and Utilities (NOC 091). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 7%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.