National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries) is part of a larger occupational group called Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries (NOC 216).

Table on the demographic profile for your chosen occupation at the national level.

Occupations in this group	Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries (2161)
Employment (non-student) in 2010	8,791
Median Age of workers in 2010	39
Average Retirement Age in 2010	61

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation experienced a large increase in employment, whereas the unemployment rate increased slightly. The average hourly wage, one of the highest among all the occupations, increased more rapidly than the average for other occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Mathematicians, Systems Analysts And Computer Programmers, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 2,909 and 3,137 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour demand and supply in this occupation were balanced over the 2008-2010 period, it is expected that the number of job seekers will be sufficient to fill job openings over the 2011-2020 period. Job openings will arise from both economic growth and retirements, despite a retirement rate below the average for all occupations. The retirement rate will be low because workers in this occupation are generally younger than those in other occupations. Job growth will be on par with the average for all occupations. With regard to labour supply, the majority of job seekers will come from the school system, given the nature of the occupation.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

Table of job opening projections for the occupational group containing your chosen occupation.

Category	Openings	%
Expansion Demand	1,051	36%
Retirements	1,442	50%
Other Replacement Demand	215	7%
Emigration	200	7%
Projected Job Openings	2,909	100%

Table of job seeker projections for the occupational group containing your chosen occupation.

Category	Seekers	%
School Leavers	2,886	92%
Immigration	526	17%
Other	-274	-9%
Projected Job Seekers	3,137	100%

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

This table shows the industry sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

Industry / Sector	%
Professional, scientific and technical services	30.80
Finance and insurance	24.60
Public administration	23.70
Health care and social assistance	5.20
Educational services	4.80

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 6% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The data from the Labour Force Survey (2009) regarding self-employment for this group are not sufficiently reliable to be published.

What proportion of men and women work in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 52% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

The data from the Labour Force Survey (2009) regarding the percentage of people in this occupation who are part of a union are not sufficiently reliable to be published.