National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing) is part of a larger occupational group called Supervisors, Processing Occupations (NOC 921).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation did not appear to be under pressure of any kind since employment and wages grew at an average pace and the unemployment rate increased slightly. Key labour market indicators suggest that the number of job seekers in this occupation was sufficient to fill job openings.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Supervisors, Processing Occupations, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 31,793 and 30,078 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that the labour supply and demand in this occupation were balanced, it is expected that the balance between the number of job seekers and job openings will continue over the 2011-2020 period. Employment growth in this occupation is expected to be relatively low, but higher than over the 2001-2010 period. This occupation continues to face less than glowing prospects in some manufacturing sectors such as the rubber, plastics, chemical, food, beverage, and in particular, the wood products sectors. The wood products manufacturing sector is expected to face significant challenges such as strong international competition and a slowdown in the construction sector in Canada and the United States. However, a large proportion of workers will retire since they tend to retire earlier and are older than average for all occupations, thus creating a number of job openings. The main source of job seekers will be other occupations in the manufacturing sector, while school leavers will represent a smaller share. This is typical of supervisory occupations since they require some degree of experience and management skills.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 2% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing) is part of a larger group called Supervisors, Processing Occupations (NOC 921). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 15% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing) is part of a larger group called Supervisors, Processing Occupations (NOC 921). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 25%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.