National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport) is part of a larger occupational group called Other Occupations in Travel, Accommodation, Amusement and Recreation (NOC 667).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, this occupation experienced solid growth in employment although the unemployment rate also increased significantly to the very high level of 17.5%. The average hourly wage for this occupation increased more quickly than average although it remained one of the lowest for all occupations. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was more than sufficient to fill job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Other Attendants In Travel, Accommodation And Recreation, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 10,903 and 5,956 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering the labour surplus in this occupation, it is expected that the labour supply and demand will remain in surplus over the 2011-2020 period. Job openings will result from both expansion and replacement demand. Although employment growth is expected to be somewhat weaker than it was over the 2001-2010 period, it will remain very strong. The expansion demand expected in this occupation is attributable to the large number of retiring baby boomers who are expected to devote more time to travel and other leisure activities. Retirements will also create replacement demand, but the retirement rate will be lower than the average. With regard to the labour supply, most job seekers will be school leavers who, alone, will be sufficient or more than sufficient to fill all the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. However, because of the generic skill set required in this occupation, a large number of people that studied in various fields will work in this occupation temporarily, but will eventually leave to work in an occupation that better matches their career goals. Consequently, a significant percentage of new job seekers will simply replace workers who leave for other occupations.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 2% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The data from the Labour Force Survey (2009) regarding self-employment for this group are not sufficiently reliable to be published.

What proportion of people in this occupation work full-time and part-time?

The graph displays the proportion of people in this occupation who worked full-time and part-time in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 56% of workers in this occupation worked full-time, compared to the average of 81% for all occupations.

What proportion of men and women work in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 36% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport) is part of a larger group called Other Occupations in Travel, Accommodation, Amusement and Recreation (NOC 667). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 26%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.