National Outlook – 10-Year Projection (2011-2020)

This section provides labour demand and labour supply projections for this occupation over the 2011-2020 period.

Note: The tables, graphs and middle paragraph shown under this section display updated 2011-2020 projection results. The remaining narrative text (2009-2018 projections) will be updated shortly. We apologize for the inconvenience.

The data in the following table are derived from HRSDC’s Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). COPS uses a variety of models to produce a detailed 10-year labour market projection per broad skill level and per occupation at the national level, which focuses on the trends of labour supply and labour demand over the next ten years.

This occupation (Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness) is part of a larger occupational group called Athletes, Coaches, Referees and Related Occupations (NOC 525).

Occupation Projection for Canada

Over the 2008-2010 period, employment in this occupation increased, but the unemployment rate also increased slightly. The unemployment rate was also higher than the average. The average hourly wage increased little and remained low compared to other occupations requiring a comparable level of skill. According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Athletes, Coaches, Referees And Related Occupations, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 20,714 and 34,218 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that labour supply and demand are currently balanced in this occupation, it is expected that there will be a surplus of workers in this occupation over the 2011-2020 period. In other words, the number of job seekers will exceed the number of job openings. The number of job openings is expected to decrease, mainly as a result of a decline in job creation. Although job growth in this occupation is expected to be relatively strong, 50 percent fewer jobs will be created over the next decade than were created in the 2001-2010 period. This can be explained in part by an increasing consumption of arts and culture, along with a corresponding decrease in sporting activity, as the population grows older. Increased sporting activity among young people, as a result of government tax incentives to promote sport and fitness, is expected to have a significant impact on the use of program leaders and instructors in recreation, sports and fitness, but less impact on their numbers. The rate of retirement in this occupation is also among the lowest, since its workers are much younger than average. With regard to job seekers in this occupation, the number of school leavers in related fields will be much higher than average. However, a significant number of workers will leave this occupation mainly because of the precarious labour market conditions and low pay.

This Chart contains data for Projection of Job Openings vs. Job Seekers for Canada. Information is available in the following tables.

In which industry or sector do people in this occupation find jobs in Canada?

This table shows the industry and sectors employing the highest number of people in this occupation.

What percentage of people in this occupation are self-employed?

The graph displays the percentage of people in this occupation who are “self-employed”, according to the 2006 Census, in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

As shown in the graph, according to the 2006 Census, 11% of people in this occupation were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 12%.

The Labour Force Survey also gives us some information about self-employment. This occupation (Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness) is part of a larger group called Athletes, Coaches, Referees and Related Occupations (NOC 525). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 18% of workers in this group were self-employed, while the average for all occupations was 16%.

What proportion of people in this occupation work full-time and part-time?

The graph displays the proportion of people in this occupation who worked full-time and part-time in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), 41% of workers in this occupation worked full-time, compared to the average of 81% for all occupations.

What proportion of men and women work in this occupation?

The graph displays the proportion of men and women in this occupation in comparison to the Canadian average across all occupations.

According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), women represented 64% of workers in this occupation, compared to the average of 48% for all occupations.

What percentage of people in this occupation are members of a union?

This occupation (Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness) is part of a larger group called Athletes, Coaches, Referees and Related Occupations (NOC 525). According to the Labour Force Survey (2009), the unionization rate for this group was 21%, while the unionization rate for all occupations was 31%.